From www. kentimmerman.com
LOS ANGELES -- The brother of
newly-elected Israeli prime minister, Ehud Olmert, said here on
Monday that Israel "will not allow" Iran to acquire nuclear weapons
capability, and will launch a unilateral military strike if necessary
to destroy Iranian nuclear facilities.
Dr. Josef Olmert, a spokesman for Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir
in the early 1990s, told an audience at Sinai Temple in Los Angeles
that "Iran is an existential issue" for Israel, because successive
Iranian leaders have openly evoked the possibility of a nuclear
exchange with the Jewish state.
Olmert now works with Israel's mission to the United Nations in New
York and with "The Israel Project," an advocacy group in Washington,
DC, but said he was not speaking as an Israeli government
spokesman.
His brother, who became Prime Minister after elections in
March, will visit Washington, D.C. next week to meet with President
Bush. Accompanying him will be Dr. Eli Levita, deputy director of
Israel's Atomic Energy Commission, who will brief U.S. officials on
what Israel has learned about Iran's progress toward nuclear weapons
capability.
"Iran will not be allowed to get to the point where they will have
the capability to destroy the state of Israel," Olmert said. "We
shall prevail, and Iran will fail."
He was addressing a forum on Iran organized by Israel Christian
Nexus, a group that brings Christian churches and synagogues together
in support of the state of Israel.
Asked by the audience whether Israel favored regime change in
Iran, as advocated by many Iranian-American organizations, the
younger Olmert said that "Israel can't wait for the hope of regime
change in Iran. Time is running out."
He noted that the timetable for military strikes must occur
when Iran develops acquires the capability to make nuclear weapons,
long before it acquires the weapons themselves. "People tell me that
this means months and not years," he added.
Many intelligence agencies, including Israel's, believe it could take
several additional years to actually produce an arsenal of weapons.
Iran announced it had succeeded in enriching uranium last month, a
milestone that Undersecretary of State Robert Joseph has said is the
"point of no return" in achieving weapons capability.
Israel needed to make its intentions clear, as a warning to
Iran but also to its friends in the United States and elsewhere,
Olmert said. "We believe the Iranians when they say they want to wipe
Israel off the map. We take them seriously. We monitor their
activities. We have the ability to monitor their activities."
Israel recently launched a new spy satellite, Eros-B, capable
of photograph objects on the ground as small as 70 centimeters,
according to Ha'aretz newspaper. Commenting on the April 24 launch,
Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said that Israel would not "turn
a blind eye" to the Iranian threat.
Iran has announced it will install 3,000 additional centrifuges in
its buried enrichment plant at Natanz by the end of the year. While
the satellite can not see what is taking place inside the plant, it
can observe comings and goings, and log how many trucks arrive –
key indicators of the type of activity taking place at the plant.
Olmert recalled the warnings issued to incoming President Ronald
Reagan in January 1981 about the threat Israel saw from Saddam
Hussein's nuclear weapons program, a time when Olmert was in the
government.
After three months, the Israeli warnings ceased and the
Americans "simply assumed" that Israel had changed its assessment of
Saddam's nuclear plans and that the attack was off the table, Olmert
said
When Israel launched an air strike against Iraq's French-built
nuclear reactor (nick-named "O'Chirac" after then French Prime
Minister Jacques Chirac, who signed the deal with Saddam in 1975),
Reagan administration officials professed "shock," even though they
had been warned repeatedly, he said.
The same could happen today with Iran, he warned.
Israel would much prefer taking part in an international
coalition with the United States and Europe to disarm Iran, but would
strike alone if that became necessary, he said.
"If a decision has to be made by an Israeli leader, it will be
carried out in the right time and it will be successful.
"Take it for granted. We shall not allow this to happen," Olmert
added, referring to a nuclear-armed Iran.
Israeli leaders have escalated the rhetoric about Iran's
nuclear weapons program in recent weeks, with former prime minister
and Nobel Peace prize winner Shimon Peres telling the Jerusalem Post
that Israel, too, could "wipe Iran off the map," just as Iran had
threatened to do to Israel.
On Thursday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said in
Malaysia that Israel "one day will vanish," and predicted the same
fate would befall America.